SR/EN
AUTHORITARIANISM - RESEARCH ATLASAVtokratija

How the authoritarian system works in Serbia

General research connected to documented examples, findings, and sources from Serbia.

100questions
20areas
148academic works
130Serbia sources
Go to the general AUTLASExplore general mechanisms of authoritarian systems without the Serbia evidence layer.

SIX ENTRIES INTO THE MATRIX

Which question do you want to start with?

Concrete questions are the starting point. The other 94 are available through the map of 20 areas.

MAP OF THE AUTHORITARIAN SYSTEM

Twenty areas guide you through the system as a whole.

Select an area to see why it matters and which five questions it opens.

AVtokratija›How money, jobs, and state assistance preserve power
45
Research-based answerAUTLAS Research Base

How do those in power decide who receives a job, assistance, or privilege and who pays the price?

Confidence in the conclusionquite substantiated, with important conditions
key academic works5
linked Serbia sources9
Period201226

The government often directs the distribution of jobs, assistance and privileges to the political value of groups. It can give more to those whose votes, money or organization are important, to those who might cross the opponent or groups whose protest it fears the most. The cost is more easily transferred to poorly organized people, distant environments or citizens who do not have access to decision-making.

Such a distribution does not always have to be open: the rule may seem general, while the criteria are set for certain users. However, any social or development policy is not a political purchase. In order to distinguish the public goal from the maintenance of power, one should look at whether the needs of the measure are consistently, who receives benefits in relation to similar groups, whether decisions are changed before the elections and whether there is a right to a reasoned appeal.

Example from SerbiaChecked connection 9 sources; waiting for saturation pass
9 related sources; Serbia records satellite pass not yet done

In Serbia, rewards and costs are distributed through budget, employment, subsidies, social assistance, permits and selective application of the rules. Politically related actors can get faster access to work or decision, while the critic bears the cost of inspection, lost contract, public smear or long procedure. The system is strongest when the criterion is not written: people themselves assess what they have to do to be on the safe side.

How the finding is separated in the matrix

01Established fact

Surveys of clientelism and corruption, as well as reports on social protection, public enterprises and political pressures, document multiple channels of selective distribution of benefits and burdens. New sources now provide four measurable distribution channels: general public tenders, contests for gender equality, local state advertising and project financing of the media, with a documented Linglong case.

02Our interpretation

The government does not have to reward every supporter or punish every critic; a few visible examples and great discretion are enough to influence the behavior of a much wider circle of people.

03Does it show the same process?

Yes the pattern is supported in several areas, but the range of each channel is not the same.

04Important caveat or alternative explanation

Different treatment is not automatically political. It is necessary to compare similar cases, criteria, time of decision and links of actors, with the right of the other party to offer a lawful explanation.

What the general answer does not allow us to conclude

The survival of power is not the only reason for any economic decision. The distribution is also influenced by ideas, development goals, war, real needs and the ability of administration.

Works supporting this answer, with their evidence type and an explanation of how they relate to the claim.

A01

data from a large number of countries

Albertus, M. (2015), Autocracy and Redistribution, Cambridge University Press.

Contribution to this answer
Albertus shows that authoritarian redistribution is not simply “giving to the poor”: the government chooses who gets the resources and against whom the redistribution will be directed towards the political relations of the forces. Land reform, for example, can simultaneously reward one group and weaken the elite that pose a threat to the regime.
Open source ↗
A02

data from a large number of countries

Morrison, K. M. (2009), „Oil, Nontax Revenue, and the Redistributional Foundations of Regime Stability“, International Organization 63(1): 107–138.

Contribution to this answer
Morrison shows that the additional non-tax income of the government gives more room to choose who to relieve and to whom to increase spending: in dictatorships, such income is associated with higher social spending, while the regime at the same time becomes more stable. Money therefore changes the political distribution of possible rewards.
Open source ↗
A03

review more research

Wintrobe, R. (1998), The Political Economy of Dictatorship, Cambridge University Press.

Contribution to this answer
Wintrobe sees power as a constant balance between reward and fear: the regime shares the rents and privileges to produce loyalty, and it uses repression to increase the price of resistance. Who gets the benefit and who takes the risk is therefore not a separate issue both decisions serve to maintain political support.
Open source ↗
A04

Explain how the system works

Stokes, S. C., Dunning, T., Nazareno, M. i Brusco, V. (2013), Brokers, Voters, and Clientelism, Cambridge University Press.

Contribution to this answer
Stokes and co-authors show how such distribution goes down to individual citizens: local mediators have information about people and decide to whom they will direct their work, help or other targeted benefit. That is why the distribution can depend on the political relationship, and not only on the formal right or need.
Open source ↗
A05

comparing several countries or cases

Haggard, S. i Kaufman, R. R. (2016), Dictators and Democrats: Masses, Elites, and Regime Change, Princeton University Press.

Contribution to this answer
Haggard and Kaufman give a broader picture: political changes and regime stability depend on conflicts between social groups over resources, on who can organize and on how the elites estimate the price of concessions. For this issue, work is more a framework that explains why distribution produces political allies and opponents, rather than a study of individual job allocation or assistance.
Open source ↗

Sources supporting the Serbia example, with the claim they support and their limitations.

S01

Reviewed scientific work - Verified 21.08.2026

Vuković, Danilo, i Bojan Spaić. 2022. “Parallel Normative Reality: The Informal Order of Corruption and Clientelism in Serbia.” Sociologija 64(4): 519–542. https://doi.org/10.2298/SOC2204519V

Vuković, Danilo, and Bojan Spaić. 2022. “Parallel Normative Reality: The Informal Order of Corruption and Clientelism in Serbia.” Sociology 64(4): 519542. https://doi.org/10.2298/SOC2204519V

What the source records
The authors find sufficient evidence for a parallel informal order in which formal rules are violated, while the rules of the loyalty network are maintained.
Claim it supports
Claim that benefits and costs are selectively distributed through work, assistance, permission, inspection and protection, even when the political criteria are not written.
Source limitation
The finding describes corruption and clientelism; it does not in itself determine the type of regime or show that any illegality is centrally driven.
Open source ↗
S02

Reviewed scientific work - Verified 21.08.2026

Vuković, Danilo, i Marija Stefanović. 2024. “Leaving No One Behind: Party Clientelism in Social Welfare in Serbia.” Annals of the Faculty of Law in Belgrade 72(4): 697–722. https://doi.org/10.51204/Anali_PFBU_24404A

Vuković, Danilo, and Marija Stefanović. 2024. “Leaving No One Behind: Party Clientelism in Social Welfare in Serbia.” Annals of the Faculty of Law in Belgrade 72(4): 69722. https://doi.org/10.51204/Anali_PFBU_24404A

What the source records
Qualitative research shows how party employment and loyalty networks can redirect public service work and create fear and passivity among employees.
Claim it supports
Claim that benefits and costs are selectively distributed through work, assistance, permission, inspection and protection, even when the political criteria are not written.
Source limitation
Research is in-depth, but sectoral; conclusions cannot be automatically transferred to every public institution.
Open source ↗
S03

Domestic NGOs qualitative field research - Verified 21.08.2026

CRTA. 2023. Mreža političkih pritisaka u centrima za socijalni rad. Beograd: CRTA.

CRTA. 2023. Network of political pressures in centers for social work. Belgrade: CRTA.

What the source records
Testimonials describe centers as points in a hierarchical network in which business, contract and assistance can be linked to political loyalty and electoral mobilization.
Claim it supports
Claim that benefits and costs are selectively distributed through work, assistance, permission, inspection and protection, even when the political criteria are not written.
Source limitation
The sample is qualitative and anonymous; the findings reveal mechanisms and patterns, but do not measure their frequency in all centers.
Open source ↗
S04

Domestic NGOs analysis of political integrity - Verified 21.08.2026

Transparency Serbia. 2024. Assessing Political Integrity Rules in Serbia. Belgrade: Transparency Serbia.

What the source records
Analysis finds important basic registers and rules, but also poor reporting, supervision and holes that leave room for favoritism and impunity.
Claim it supports
Claim that benefits and costs are selectively distributed through work, assistance, permission, inspection and protection, even when the political criteria are not written.
Source limitation
The assessment of the rules and their application determines the institutional risks, not the guilt of the person concerned without due process.
Open source ↗
S05

Domestic NGO and research media longitudinal analysis of the competition - Verified 21.08.2026

BIRN Srbija i Građanske inicijative. 2023. Javno o javnim konkursima: Pregled projektnog finansiranja u oblastima medija, civilnog društva, kulture i omladine u 2022. godini. Beograd: BIRN Srbija i Građanske inicijative.

BIRN Serbia and Civic Initiatives. 2023. Public about public competitions: Overview of project funding in the fields of media, civil society, culture and youth in 2022. Belgrade: BIRN Serbia and Civic Initiatives.

What the source records
Connects users, amounts, competition commissions and lack of evaluation, so you can see who gets the benefit and who is missing.
Claim it supports
Supports the claim that discretionary distribution of public money can be a reward, while criteria and results remain poorly verifiable.
Source limitation
The database and monitoring show patterns and risks; only the repetition of the user does not prove eligibility or abuse without an overview of the specific competition, decision and project results.
Open source ↗
S06

Domestic NGOs public finance analysis - Verified 21.08.2026

FemPlatz. 2024. Analiza javnih konkursa za podršku projektima udruženja usmerenih na promociju, zaštitu i unapređenje rodne ravnopravnosti i sprečavanje nasilja prema ženama objavljenih tokom 2023. Pančevo: FemPlatz.

FemPlatz. 2024. Analysis of public competitions for support to projects of associations aimed at promotion, protection and improvement of gender equality and prevention of violence against women published during 2023. Pančevo: FemPlatz.

What the source records
In one sector, it monitors who has been awarded 207,7 million dinars and what kind of trace of work users leave.
Claim it supports
Provides a measurable example that money can go to inactive or unskilled actors, while experienced service providers are left without support.
Source limitation
Desk analysis and four interviews accurately check the selected competitions, but do not prove that every funded association GONGO nor that every bad decision is politically motivated.
Open source ↗
S07

Local media network comparative analysis - Verified 21.08.2026

Lokal pres. 2026. State Advertising at the Local Level. Kragujevac: Lokal pres.

What the source records
Compares the amounts and users of state advertising in eight local self-governments and finds a strong concentration of funds.
Claim it supports
Gives local examples of who gets public income without a publicly defensible criterion.
Source limitation
The survey covers one year and eight local self-governments; EMFA standards used as a benchmark are not yet fully enshrined in domestic law.
Open source ↗
S08

Local NGOs comparative analysis of media financing - Verified 21.08.2026

Res Publika. 2026. Propaganda vs. javni interes: Analiza projektnog finansiranja i medijskog pluralizma u lokalnim zajednicama. Kragujevac: Res Publika.

Res Publika. 2026. Propaganda vs. Public Interest: Analysis of Project Financing and Media Pluralism in Local Communities. Kragujevac: Res Publika.

What the source records
In competitions in five cities, it monitors commissions, users, amounts and produced content.
Claim it supports
Provides cases in which public money funds promotional or repeated content instead of clearly defined public interest.
Source limitation
Comparing one competition year in five local self-governments and complementing it with journalistic texts; it shows the mechanism and cases well, but does not measure its frequency throughout Serbia.
Open source ↗
S09

Domestic NGOs documented case study - Verified 21.08.2026

ASTRA. 2024. Neispričana priča 11 radnika žrtava trgovine ljudima u Srbiji. Beograd: ASTRA.

ASTRA. 2024. Untold story of 11 victims of human trafficking in Serbia. Belgrade: ASTRA.

What the source records
Monitors who bears the price of the investment project: workers suffer threats and departure, while ASTRA finds the impression of privileged position of a large foreign company.
Claim it supports
Provides a case of selective distribution of benefits and burdens, with the fence that one case does not prove a general policy.
Source limitation
“It is a case collected in the short term before the departure of the workers; it shows what the privileged position of the investor may look like, but it does not prove the general state policy towards all investors.
Open source ↗

ABOUT US AND OUR METHODOLOGY

Many sources. Clear methodology. Verifiable answers.

AUTLAS is a public knowledge platform about how authoritarian systems work. It turns research findings into clear answers to the questions people ask when trying to understand elections, media, institutions, public resources, pressure, and everyday life in an authoritarian system.

01

Based on academic research

The answers are based on relevant academic research on authoritarian systems, democratic backsliding, institutional capture, and the narrowing of civic rights and freedoms. AUTLAS connects findings from scholarly articles, books, and comparative studies and presents them in language accessible to the wider public.

02

Practice documented in Serbia

AVtokratija is the Serbia case study within AUTLAS. It uses reports, analyses, and data from civil society organizations, independent institutions, professional associations, investigative media, and other relevant sources. General findings and evidence from Serbia are presented separately.

03

Sources open to scrutiny

Each answer lists the sources used. Visitors can check which research, data, and reports underpin the conclusions. The authors of the research and the organizations that collected the data remain clearly credited.

04

Why questions?

Knowledge about authoritarian systems is scattered across scholarly papers, books, databases, and reports. AUTLAS organizes it through 100 questions in 20 areas, so people can start with a phenomenon they recognize and understand the wider system to which it belongs.

05

Focus on the system, not on blaming people

Authoritarian systems change the rules, narrow the range of choices, raise the cost of refusal, and create the impression that nothing can change. AUTLAS therefore analyzes rules, incentives, pressures, and institutional mechanisms - rather than blaming people trying to live and work within such a system.

06

Who is behind AUTLAS?

AUTLAS and AVtokratija were conceived and are being developed by Civic Initiatives. Civic Initiatives is the author and editor of the website and is responsible for topic selection, treatment of sources, and presentation. The content is updated and corrected in line with new research and reliable data.

CONTINUOUSLY UPDATED

Help us keep the content complete and accurate.

Send a relevant source, point out an error, or suggest how an explanation could be clearer. Every submission is reviewed before the content is changed.

Send a source, report an error, or share a suggestion →